StockVS

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) Stock Analysis

Industrials

The GEO Group, Inc.

$22.68

$-0.84 (-3.57%)

Last Updated: May 26, 2026

Price History

Analysis

Company Overview

The GEO Group, Inc. operates as a diversified government service provider that specializes in the design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers across the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. This operational model places the company firmly within the Industrials sector, specifically the Security & Protection Services industry, where it delivers essential infrastructure and personnel required for public safety and incarceration management. As of the latest available data, the company holds a market capitalization of $2.29B and generates annual revenue of $2.63B, employing a workforce of 18,000 individuals to execute its global mandate. These valuation and revenue figures indicate that the organization maintains a substantial footprint within its industry, positioning it as a significant player capable of leveraging economies of scale while managing complex government contracts in multiple international jurisdictions. The breadth of its geographic presence and the diversity of its service offerings suggest a business model designed to mitigate risks associated with reliance on a single jurisdiction or client type, thereby supporting its long-term operational stability.

Financial Health

The company reported a trailing twelve-month revenue of $2.63B accompanied by a net income of $254.37M and an EBITDA of $429.13M, illustrating a substantial gap between top-line revenue and bottom-line profit that reflects significant cost structures inherent in labor-intensive security operations. This disparity highlights the operational expenses required to maintain secure facilities and manage personnel, which directly impacts the conversion of revenue into net earnings. However, the free cash flow stands at -$151,613,504, indicating a current period where capital expenditures or working capital requirements exceed cash generated from operations, which limits immediate financial flexibility for large-scale discretionary investments. Despite this cash flow outflow, the company maintains $69.00M in cash reserves while carrying total debt of $1.73B, creating a scenario where liabilities significantly outweigh liquid assets on a standalone basis. The balance sheet is clearly leveraged, evidenced by a debt-to-equity ratio of 114.71%, which signals a high reliance on borrowed capital to fund its asset base. Liquidity remains robust in the short term with a current ratio of 2.01, suggesting the company possesses ample current assets to cover its current liabilities without immediate distress. Furthermore, the return on equity is 17.9% while the return on assets is 5.0%, revealing that management is highly effective at generating returns for shareholders relative to the equity invested, though asset utilization efficiency is lower when including debt financing.

Valuation Assessment

Valuation metrics for The GEO Group, Inc. show a trailing P/E ratio of 9.03 and a forward P/E of 9.23, implying that the market expects earnings growth to be relatively modest or stable in the coming year rather than a sharp acceleration. The price-to-book ratio is recorded at 1.46, indicating that the stock trades at a moderate premium over its book value, suggesting the market values the company's intangible assets or future earning potential slightly above the net asset base. Alternative valuation perspectives include a price-to-sales ratio of 0.87 and an EV/EBITDA of 8.91, which collectively suggest the stock is priced attractively relative to its revenue generation and earnings power before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Regarding trading range, the 52-week high is $32.09 and the 52-week low is $12.51; without a specific current price to calculate the exact percentage, the range demonstrates significant volatility over the last year where the stock has nearly tripled in value from its low. The beta is 0.76, which indicates that the stock's price volatility is lower than the broader market, suggesting it may be less sensitive to general market fluctuations and potentially offering a defensive characteristic within a diversified portfolio.

Growth & Income

Revenue growth over the last year is 16.5%, while earnings growth is 117.7%, demonstrating that profitability is expanding at a much faster pace than revenue, which implies improved operational leverage or margin expansion rather than just increased volume. This divergence suggests that cost controls or pricing power are contributing disproportionately to the bottom line compared to the top line. The company does not pay a dividend, as indicated by a dividend yield of N/A and a payout ratio of 0.0%, meaning that all earnings are retained within the business to fund operations, debt reduction, or future growth initiatives rather than being distributed to shareholders. Consequently, the overall growth and income profile is characterized by significant capital reinvestment to drive future expansion, offering potential capital appreciation through earnings per share growth instead of current income via dividends.

Peer Comparison

The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) operates in the Security & Protection Services industry. Here is how it compares to its closest peers by market capitalization:

Company Ticker Market Cap P/E Ratio
The GEO Group, Inc. GEO $3.03B 11.5
Allegion plc ALLE $11.31B 18.0
MSA Safety Incorporated MSA $6.60B 23.1
ADT Inc. ADT $5.27B 9.1

The Security & Protection Services industry average P/E ratio is 19.6x. The GEO Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.5.

This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Data may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

About The GEO Group, Inc.

The GEO Group, Inc. is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEO's diversified services include enhanced in-custody rehabilitation and post-release support through the award-winning GEO Continuum of Care, secure transportation, electronic monitoring, community-based programs, and correctional health and mental health care. GEO's worldwide operations include the ownership and/or delivery of support services for 95 facilities totaling approximately 75,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 20,000 employees. The GEO Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Boca Raton, United States.

Visit website →

Key Statistics

Market Cap
$3.03B
P/E Ratio
11.51
52-Week High
$27.90
52-Week Low
$12.51
Avg Volume
2.16M
Beta
0.81

Data provided by Yahoo Finance via yfinance. Updated daily.

Company Info

Exchange
NYSE
Country
United States
Employees
20,000