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Modiv Industrial, Inc. (MDV) Stock Analysis

Real Estate

Modiv Industrial, Inc.

$18.50

+$0.26 (+1.43%)

Last Updated: May 26, 2026

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Analysis

Company Overview

Modiv Industrial, Inc. operates as an internally managed Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) specializing in single-tenant net-lease industrial manufacturing properties, targeting assets that support critical industrial manufacturing sectors and fuel the national economy. The company functions within the Real Estate sector and the REIT - Industrial industry, a classification that signifies its primary income generation comes from leasing industrial space to specific tenants rather than selling products or services directly. In terms of scale, Modiv Industrial, Inc. currently holds a market capitalization of $145.71M and generates annual revenue of $47.15M while employing 9 individuals to manage its portfolio. The market capitalization of $145.71M indicates that Modiv is a mid-cap entity relative to large-scale industrial REITs, suggesting a niche operational scope rather than broad market dominance, while the revenue figure of $47.15M reflects a streamlined operation typical of a focused single-tenant strategy rather than a diversified commercial real estate conglomerate. The low employee count of 9 further underscores the asset-light nature of the business model, where value is derived from property ownership and lease structures rather than extensive operational headcount.

Financial Health

The company reports revenue of $47.15M over the trailing twelve months, accompanied by a net income of -$3,089,000 and an EBITDA of $34.30M, revealing a significant discrepancy where operating earnings remain robust despite a negative bottom line. This gap between the positive EBITDA of $34.30M and the negative net income of -$3,089,000 indicates a cost structure heavily influenced by non-operating expenses, likely interest payments on substantial debt or other corporate overheads that erode profit before taxes. Modiv generates free cash flow of $35.35M, a metric that demonstrates strong cash generation capabilities relative to its size and provides essential financial flexibility for maintaining properties or managing liquidity without relying solely on external financing. The gross margin stands at 92.7%, which is characteristic of the net-lease model where most expenses are passed through to tenants, while the operating margin of 41.5% confirms efficient management of property-level operations. However, the profit margin of 2.3% reflects the aggressive leverage or interest burden impacting the final profitability after all expenses. The company holds cash of $14.38M against total debt of $261.48M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 129.42, which characterizes the balance sheet as highly leveraged rather than conservative. This high leverage is typical for REITs but requires consistent cash flow to service obligations, as evidenced by the current ratio of 9.32, which indicates an extremely strong short-term liquidity position capable of covering current liabilities many times over. Return on Equity is recorded at 0.3% and Return on Assets at 2.5%, metrics that reveal limited effectiveness in generating returns relative to the capital employed and assets held, likely due to the impact of the high debt load on equity returns.

Valuation Assessment

The valuation metrics present a complex picture with a P/E Ratio (TTM) listed as N/A due to the negative earnings, while the Forward P/E is 100.86, implying that the market is pricing in significant expected earnings growth or is valuing the stock based on future anticipated profitability rather than current performance. The price-to-book ratio is 0.89, indicating that the market is currently valuing the company at a slight discount to its book value, which suggests the market does not believe the assets are being fully capitalized or that the high leverage is already priced in. Alternative valuation metrics such as the price-to-sales ratio of 3.09 and an EV/EBITDA of 12.60 provide further context, suggesting the stock is trading at a premium relative to sales but at a moderate multiple of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. The 52-week high is $17.14 and the 52-week low is $13.62, and without a specific current price provided in the facts, the relative trading position cannot be calculated, though the range establishes the recent volatility floor and ceiling. The beta is -0.32, a unique and highly unusual figure that suggests the stock price moves inversely to the broader market or exhibits negligible correlation, indicating extremely low or negative volatility relative to the broader market index.

Growth & Income

Modiv Industrial, Inc. experienced a revenue growth of -4.1% year-over-year and an earnings growth of -78.5% year-over-year, indicating that earnings are shrinking at a much faster rate than revenue, which implies a deterioration in profitability or a one-time increase in costs rather than a decline in core operational scale. The company offers a dividend yield of 8.5%, but the payout ratio is 460.0%, a figure that is mathematically unsustainable given the negative net income and suggests the dividend is being funded entirely from cash reserves, free cash flow, or is at significant risk of suspension. Since the earnings growth is negative, the company is not reinvesting earnings into growth through dividends, as the payout ratio exceeds 100%, forcing reliance on cash flow to maintain the yield. The overall growth and income profile is characterized by negative earnings momentum paired with an exceptionally high but potentially fragile dividend yield supported by strong free cash flow rather than distributable earnings.

Peer Comparison

Modiv Industrial, Inc. (MDV) operates in the REIT - Industrial industry. Here is how it compares to its closest peers by market capitalization:

Company Ticker Market Cap P/E Ratio
Modiv Industrial, Inc. MDV $190.99M N/A
Prologis, Inc. PLD $136.03B 36.7
Public Storage PSA $53.45B 31.4
Extra Space Storage Inc. EXR $31.78B 32.4

The REIT - Industrial industry average P/E ratio is 35.0x. Modiv Industrial, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A.

This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Data may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

About Modiv Industrial, Inc.

Modiv Industrial, Inc. is an internally managed REIT that is focused on single-tenant net-lease industrial manufacturing real estate. The Company actively acquires critical industrial manufacturing properties with long-term leases to tenants that fuel the national economy and strengthen the nation's supply chains. Modiv Industrial, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Denver, United States.

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Key Statistics

Market Cap
$190.99M
P/E Ratio
N/A
52-Week High
$18.58
52-Week Low
$13.80
Avg Volume
79.54K
Beta
-0.14
Dividend Yield
6.49%

Data provided by Yahoo Finance via yfinance. Updated daily.

Company Info

Exchange
NYSE
Country
United States
Employees
9