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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) Stock Analysis

Industrials

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

$22.71

$-0.28 (-1.22%)

Last Updated: May 26, 2026

Price History

Analysis

Company Overview

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. operates as a provider of express delivery and value-added logistics services within the People's Republic of China, serving e-commerce merchants, traditional merchants, and other express service users through its freight forwarding and delivery networks. The company functions within the Industrials sector, specifically the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry, where it manages the complex infrastructure required to move goods efficiently across a vast geographic landscape. ZTO maintains a significant market presence with a market capitalization of $18.49B and generates annual revenue of $49.10B, while its employee count is listed as N/A in available data. These financial figures indicate that the company commands a substantial valuation relative to its sales, positioning it as a major player in the Chinese logistics ecosystem where scale is critical for operational efficiency and market dominance. The magnitude of its revenue stream suggests that the company has successfully captured a large portion of the domestic parcel delivery market, allowing it to leverage its extensive network to serve a diverse client base ranging from small online retailers to large-scale traditional enterprises.

Financial Health

The company reports a trailing twelve-month revenue of $49.10B and net income of $9.08B, with an EBITDA figure of $13.85B, highlighting a robust top-line performance supported by significant operating earnings before interest and taxes. The substantial gap between the $49.10B revenue and the $9.08B net income reveals a gross profit structure where approximately 51% of revenue is consumed by the cost of goods sold and operating expenses before reaching the bottom line, though the gross margin sits at 25.0%. ZTO generates free cash flow of $10.01B, which provides the company with exceptional financial flexibility to fund capital expenditures, acquire competitors, or manage working capital cycles without relying heavily on external financing. The company's margins demonstrate strong pricing power or cost control, with a gross margin of 25.0%, an operating margin of 22.0%, and a profit margin of 18.5%, indicating that a significant portion of revenue translates into earnings after all operational costs. Regarding its balance sheet, ZTO holds $25.63B in cash against $11.48B in debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 17.10, which suggests a highly leveraged position relative to equity but is mitigated by the sheer volume of cash reserves available. The current ratio stands at 1.49, indicating that the company possesses sufficient current assets to cover its short-term liabilities with nearly 1.5 times the necessary liquidity. Return on Equity is calculated at 14.2% and return on assets is 7.1%, metrics that reveal management's effectiveness in generating profit from shareholders' investments and utilizing the total asset base respectively.

Valuation Assessment

ZTO Express carries a trailing P/E ratio of 14.98 and a forward P/E of 11.35, and the difference between these two figures implies that the market expects earnings to grow significantly in the coming period relative to current levels. The price-to-book ratio is stated at 2.00, which indicates that the market values the company at twice its net asset book value, suggesting a premium assigned to its intangible assets and future growth prospects. Alternative valuation metrics such as the price-to-sales ratio of 0.38 and an EV/EBITDA of 0.41 suggest that the company is priced at a very low multiple of its sales and earnings power, potentially reflecting high growth expectations or specific industry dynamics. The stock has traded between a 52-week high of $26.20 and a 52-week low of $16.34, and without a specific current price provided in the facts, the range establishes the volatility boundaries within which the stock has moved over the last year. The beta value is -0.15, which is a negative figure indicating that the stock's price moves inversely to the broader market or that the correlation with the market is negligible, presenting a unique volatility profile compared to typical equities.

Growth & Income

The company demonstrates a revenue growth rate of 12.3% year-over-year and an earnings growth rate of 790.7% year-over-year, showing that earnings are expanding at a dramatically faster pace than revenue, which often occurs during periods of margin expansion or one-time income adjustments. ZTO Express offers a dividend yield of 2.9% with a payout ratio of 41.8%, indicating that the company distributes a portion of its earnings to shareholders while retaining the majority to fuel internal growth initiatives. The sustainability of the dividend is supported by the high earnings growth and the substantial free cash flow generation, ensuring that the payout ratio does not strain the company's liquidity. The overall growth and income profile combines double-digit revenue expansion with explosive earnings growth and a consistent dividend yield, offering a hybrid investment characteristic of both capital appreciation and income generation.

Peer Comparison

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) operates in the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry. Here is how it compares to its closest peers by market capitalization:

Company Ticker Market Cap P/E Ratio
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. ZTO $17.41B 13.5
FedEx Corporation FDX $95.44B 21.4
United Parcel Service, Inc. UPS $86.68B 16.5
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. JBHT $25.24B 41.5

The Integrated Freight & Logistics industry average P/E ratio is 22.6x. ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.5.

This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Data may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

About ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. It also offers less-than-truckload (LTL) logistics services; integrated logistics solutions for warehousing, distribution, and transportation; and freight forwarding services. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

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Key Statistics

Market Cap
$17.41B
P/E Ratio
13.52
52-Week High
$26.20
52-Week Low
$16.94
Avg Volume
1.75M
Beta
-0.18
Dividend Yield
3.04%

Data provided by Yahoo Finance via yfinance. Updated daily.

Company Info

Exchange
NYSE
Country
China
Employees
23,399