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Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) Stock Analysis

Consumer Cyclical

Fossil Group, Inc.

$4.06

$-0.10 (-2.40%)

Last Updated: May 26, 2026

Price History

Analysis

Company Overview

Fossil Group, Inc. operates as a designer, developer, marketer, and distributor of consumer fashion accessories across the United States, Europe, Asia, and international markets. The company focuses on a diverse product portfolio that includes traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and shoes, serving the Footwear & Accessories industry within the broader Consumer Cyclical sector. As of the latest available data, the company's total market capitalization stands at $239.26M, while its trailing twelve-month revenue reaches $1.00B. With an employee count of 4500, the organization maintains a significant operational footprint relative to its valuation metrics. The market capitalization of $239.26M indicates a small-cap classification, suggesting the company trades with a lower liquidity profile compared to large-cap peers, whereas the $1.00B in annual revenue demonstrates the substantial scale of its sales operations despite the modest market valuation.

Financial Health

The company reported a trailing twelve-month revenue of $1.00B, yet recorded a net income loss of $-78,299,000 and an EBITDA of $36.11M. The significant disparity between the $1.00B revenue figure and the negative net income reveals a cost structure where operating expenses and losses outweigh gross profits, resulting in a profit margin of -7.8%. Despite the negative net income, the firm generated positive EBITDA of $36.11M and free cash flow of $53.87M, which provides a degree of financial flexibility to fund operations or reduce debt without relying on external financing. The gross margin stands at 56.1%, indicating strong pricing power or cost efficiency in production, while the operating margin is 4.5%, reflecting moderate overhead costs relative to sales. However, the profit margin of -7.8% signals that non-operating expenses or interest costs are eroding the bottom line significantly. On the balance sheet, the company holds $102.22M in cash against total debt of $317.04M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 365.36%, which characterizes a highly leveraged financial structure rather than a conservative one. The current ratio is 1.55, suggesting the company possesses 1.55 times more current assets than current liabilities, indicating adequate short-term liquidity to meet obligations. Return on Equity is reported at -69.7%, showing that shareholder equity is shrinking, while Return on Assets sits at 2.0%, indicating that asset utilization is generating minimal positive returns before interest and taxes.

Valuation Assessment

The trailing twelve-month P/E ratio is N/A due to the negative earnings, whereas the forward P/E is listed at 43.16, implying market expectations of future earnings recovery to justify the current share price. The price-to-book ratio is 2.23, indicating that the market values the company at more than double its book value per share, which may reflect intangible assets or future growth potential not captured on the balance sheet. Alternative valuation metrics show a price-to-sales ratio of 0.24 and an EV/EBITDA of 11.85, suggesting the stock is priced at a fraction of its sales revenue but commands a premium multiple relative to its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. The stock price has ranged between a 52-week low of $0.86 and a 52-week high of $5.00, placing the current valuation context within a wide historical volatility band. The beta value is 1.76, meaning the stock's price volatility is significantly higher than the broader market, moving with amplified intensity during periods of market turbulence.

Growth & Income

The revenue growth year-over-year is -18.0%, while earnings growth is N/A due to the current period losses, indicating that the company is currently contracting rather than expanding its top line. Since the company is not a dividend payer, it does not distribute a dividend yield or maintain a payout ratio, effectively reinvesting any available cash flow into business operations rather than returning capital to shareholders. The absence of a dividend yield, combined with negative profit margins and high debt levels, suggests that the company is prioritizing survival and restructuring over income generation for investors. Overall, the growth and income profile is characterized by revenue contraction, negative earnings, high leverage, and no current income distribution, presenting a challenging fundamental environment for the stock.

Peer Comparison

Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) operates in the Footwear & Accessories industry. Here is how it compares to its closest peers by market capitalization:

Company Ticker Market Cap P/E Ratio
Fossil Group, Inc. FOSL $239.95M N/A
NIKE, Inc. NKE $66.15B 29.4
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK $15.48B 15.9
On Holding AG ONON $13.27B 41.9

The Footwear & Accessories industry average P/E ratio is 23.7x. Fossil Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A.

This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Data may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

About Fossil Group, Inc.

Fossil Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, markets, and distributes consumer fashion accessories in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company's products include traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses. It also manufactures and distributes private label brands. The company offers its products under its proprietary brands, such as FOSSIL, SKAGEN, MICHELE, RELIC, and ZODIAC; and under the licensed brands, including ARMANI EXCHANGE, DIESEL, EMPORIO ARMANI, KATE SPADE NEW YORK, MICHAEL KORS, SKECHERS, and TORY BURCH. It sells its products through company-owned retail and outlet stores, department and specialty retail stores, mass market stores, e-commerce sites, licensed and franchised FOSSIL retail stores, retail concessions, and airlines, as well as operate stores under the WATCH STATION and WSI brands. The company was formerly known as Fossil, Inc. and changed its name to Fossil Group, Inc. in May 2013. Fossil Group, Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Richardson, Texas.

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Key Statistics

Market Cap
$239.95M
P/E Ratio
N/A
52-Week High
$5.75
52-Week Low
$1.27
Avg Volume
842.05K

Data provided by Yahoo Finance via yfinance. Updated daily.

Company Info

Exchange
NASDAQ
Country
United States
Employees
4,500