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Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) Stock Analysis

Basic Materials

Algoma Steel Group Inc.

$4.98

+$0.25 (+5.29%)

Last Updated: May 26, 2026

Price History

Analysis

Company Overview

Algoma Steel Group Inc. functions as a producer and seller of steel products with a geographic footprint spanning Canada, the United States, and international markets. Within the Basic Materials sector, the company specifically operates in the Steel industry, providing essential flat and sheet steel products that are critical for manufacturing and construction. The firm employs approximately 2,400 individuals to support its operations, generating a Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) revenue of $2.09 billion while maintaining a total market capitalization of $439.20 million. These financial figures indicate that while the company generates substantial top-line revenue, its market valuation is significantly lower than its annual sales volume, suggesting a market perspective that heavily weights current profitability challenges over historical revenue generation. The disparity between the $2.09 billion in revenue and the $439.20 million market cap highlights a market assessment that prices the asset primarily on its earnings potential and debt obligations rather than its sales scale alone.

Financial Health

The company reports a TTM revenue of $2.09 billion, yet it recorded a net income loss of $984,899,968 and an EBITDA of $-417,900,000 over the same period. The substantial gap between the $2.09 billion revenue and the nearly $1 billion net loss reveals a highly fragile cost structure where operating expenses and cost of goods sold significantly exceed total income before interest and taxes. Free cash flow stands at $-420,950,016, indicating that the company is currently consuming cash rather than generating it, which severely limits its financial flexibility for capital expenditures or unexpected market downturns without external funding. Margin analysis shows a gross margin of -30.4%, an operating margin of -90.0%, and a profit margin of -47.2%, all of which indicate that the company is losing money on every unit sold after accounting for production costs, operational overhead, and total expenses. On the balance sheet, the company holds $77.50 million in cash against $915.80 million in debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 186.48, which characterizes the balance sheet as highly leveraged and reliant on ongoing cash flow generation or refinancing to service obligations. Liquidity is supported by a current ratio of 2.18, suggesting that current assets are more than twice the value of current liabilities, though this buffer is strained by the massive debt load and negative operating cash flow. Return on equity is -98.5% and return on assets is -18.2%, metrics that reveal that management is currently destroying shareholder value and utilizing assets inefficiently in the current economic environment.

Valuation Assessment

The valuation metrics present a mixed picture, with a trailing P/E ratio listed as N/A due to the lack of positive earnings, while the forward P/E is -14.68. The divergence between a non-existent trailing P/E and a negative forward P/E implies that the market is pricing in a significant expected deterioration in earnings trajectory or expects earnings to remain negative for an extended period. The price-to-book ratio is 1.22, indicating that the stock trades at a slight premium to its book value, which is an unusual characteristic for a company with such severe losses and negative equity implications. Alternative valuation metrics such as the price-to-sales ratio of 0.21 and an EV/EBITDA of -3.05 suggest that the market is valuing the company almost entirely on its revenue base rather than profitability or enterprise value multiples. The 52-week trading range spans from a low of $3.02 to a high of $7.25, providing a context for price volatility within the current trading period. The beta value of 1.54 indicates that the stock price is significantly more volatile than the broader market, moving with greater intensity than the general index.

Growth & Income

Revenue growth year-over-year is -22.9%, while earnings growth is N/A due to the company reporting a net loss. The negative revenue growth suggests a contraction in sales volume or pricing power, and the absence of earnings growth reinforces the difficulty the company faces in turning losses into profits. Regarding income distribution, the company does not pay a dividend yield as indicated by the N/A figure, meaning the firm retains its limited resources rather than distributing cash to shareholders. The payout ratio is listed as 38.5%, which in the context of negative earnings and no current dividend yield, suggests a historical or theoretical metric that is not currently sustainable given the net loss of $-984,899,968. Consequently, the company is effectively reinvesting its scarce cash resources into maintaining operations rather than paying dividends or funding growth through distributions. The overall growth and income profile is characterized by declining revenue, significant losses, and a complete absence of current cash returns to shareholders.

Peer Comparison

Algoma Steel Group Inc. (ASTL) operates in the Steel industry. Here is how it compares to its closest peers by market capitalization:

Company Ticker Market Cap P/E Ratio
Algoma Steel Group Inc. ASTL $524.84M N/A
Nucor Corporation NUE $52.84B 23.0
ArcelorMittal S.A. MT $50.25B 17.3
Steel Dynamics, Inc. STLD $36.12B 26.9

The Steel industry average P/E ratio is 41.9x. Algoma Steel Group Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A.

This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Data may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

About Algoma Steel Group Inc.

Algoma Steel Group Inc. produces and sells steel products in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company offers flat/sheet steel products, including temper rolling, cold rolled, hot-rolled pickled and oiled products, floor plate, and cut-to-length products for the automotive industry, hollow structural tube product manufacturers, and the light manufacturing and transportation industries; and plate steel products consisting of rolled, hot-rolled, and heat-treated for use in the construction or manufacture of railcars, buildings, bridges, off-highway equipment, storage tanks, ships, armored products for military applications, diameter pipelines, and wind energy generation equipment. It also provides by-products, such as furnace and buckwheat coke, braize coke, and flue dust; high sulpur beach and kish iron, BOF pit grissly and scrap, BOF and pellet fines, and mill roll scale; light oil and coal tar; granulated and air cooled slag; and machine shop turnings, used mill rolls, recycled oil, non-ferrous metal, and lime fines. The company was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Sault Sainte Marie, Canada.

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Key Statistics

Market Cap
$524.84M
P/E Ratio
N/A
52-Week High
$7.25
52-Week Low
$3.02
Avg Volume
1.39M
Beta
1.55

Data provided by Yahoo Finance via yfinance. Updated daily.

Company Info

Industry
Steel
Exchange
NASDAQ
Country
Canada
Employees
2,400