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Vistra Corp. (VST) Stock Analysis

Utilities

Vistra Corp.

$164.56

+$8.29 (+5.30%)

Last Updated: May 26, 2026

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Analysis

Company Overview

Vistra Corp. operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company serving the United States market through five distinct segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. This operational structure places the entity within the Utilities sector, specifically the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, signifying its role in generating and selling power independently rather than relying solely on regulated monopolies. The company demonstrates significant scale with a market capitalization of $52.64B and annual revenue of $17.74B, supported by an employee base of 6390. These valuation and revenue figures indicate that Vistra Corp. maintains a substantial market position, reflecting the capital intensity and size required to operate a major integrated utility enterprise across multiple geographic regions and retail segments.

Financial Health

The company reported revenue of $17.74B, net income of $752.00M, and EBITDA of $5.23B for the trailing twelve months. The substantial gap between the $17.74B revenue and $752.00M net income reveals a cost structure where operating expenses, including cost of goods sold and general administrative costs, consume approximately 94.7% of total revenue before reaching the bottom line. Free cash flow stands at -$459,249,984, which indicates that current cash generation from operations is insufficient to cover capital expenditures, suggesting a period of significant reinvestment or asset expansion that impacts immediate financial flexibility. Gross margin is recorded at 33.2%, operating margin at 13.2%, and profit margin at 5.3%, indicating that for every dollar of sales, only a small fraction translates to actual profit after all costs are deducted. The balance sheet is highly leveraged, holding $795.00M in cash against $20.42B in debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 399.55. This extreme leverage implies that the company relies heavily on borrowed capital to fund its operations and asset base. The current ratio of 0.78 indicates that current assets are insufficient to cover current liabilities, pointing to potential short-term liquidity constraints. Return on Equity is 17.7% while Return on Assets is 3.5%, revealing that management is generating significant returns on shareholder equity but that the heavy debt load significantly dilutes the return generated on the total asset base.

Valuation Assessment

The trailing P/E ratio is 71.32, while the forward P/E is 13.80, implying a sharp divergence that suggests the market expects a substantial correction in earnings or a significant change in valuation multiple to align future prices with expected profitability. The price-to-book ratio is 20.05, indicating that the market values the company at a heavy premium over its net tangible assets, likely reflecting the value of intangible assets or future cash flow potential rather than current book value. The price-to-sales ratio stands at 2.97, and the EV/EBITDA is 14.25, suggesting that valuation metrics based on sales and enterprise value offer a more moderate perspective compared to the high trailing earnings multiple. The 52-week high is $219.82 and the 52-week low is $90.51, meaning the current trading environment has experienced a wide range of volatility within this year. With a beta of 1.45, the stock exhibits price volatility that is significantly higher than the broader market, moving with greater intensity than the overall index during periods of market fluctuation.

Growth & Income

Revenue growth year-over-year is 13.6%, whereas earnings growth year-over-year is -52.3%, indicating that earnings are shrinking at a much faster rate than revenue is expanding. This divergence suggests that while top-line sales are increasing, underlying profitability is being compressed, potentially due to rising fuel costs, regulatory expenses, or one-time charges impacting the bottom line. As a utility company with a dividend yield of 0.6% and a payout ratio of 41.3%, the entity distributes a portion of its earnings to shareholders. However, the negative earnings growth combined with a positive payout ratio suggests that the sustainability of the current dividend depends on the stabilization of earnings to avoid paying out of reserves. The overall growth and income profile presents a scenario of expanding sales volume offset by declining profitability, supported by a modest dividend yield that requires careful monitoring of earnings recovery to ensure long-term sustainability.

Peer Comparison

Vistra Corp. (VST) operates in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry. Here is how it compares to its closest peers by market capitalization:

Company Ticker Market Cap P/E Ratio
Vistra Corp. VST $55.49B 27.6
Constellation Energy Corporation CEG $108.92B 26.2
NRG Energy, Inc. NRG $29.04B 151.3
Talen Energy Corporation TLN $17.78B N/A

The Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry average P/E ratio is 59.3x. Vistra Corp. trades at a P/E of 27.6.

This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Data may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

About Vistra Corp.

Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. The company operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure. The company retails electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across states in the United States and the District of Columbia. It is also involved in electricity generation, wholesale energy purchases and sales, commodity risk management, fuel procurement, and fuel logistics management activities. In addition, the company engages in decommissioning and reclamation of retired generation facilities, including mines, and battery removal and remediation activities. It serves approximately 5 million customers with a generation capacity of approximately 44,000 megawatts with a portfolio of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy storage facilities. The company was formerly known as Vistra Energy Corp. and changed its name to Vistra Corp. in July 2020. Vistra Corp. was founded in 1882 and is based in Irving, Texas.

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Key Statistics

Market Cap
$55.49B
P/E Ratio
27.56
52-Week High
$219.82
52-Week Low
$132.66
Avg Volume
4.69M
Beta
1.45
Dividend Yield
0.56%

Data provided by Yahoo Finance via yfinance. Updated daily.

Company Info

Exchange
NYSE
Country
United States
Employees
6,390