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Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) Stock Analysis

Basic Materials

Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

$93.08

+$9.15 (+10.90%)

Last Updated: May 26, 2026

Price History

Analysis

Company Overview

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. is a specialized producer of non-thermal steelmaking coal, which it mines underground in Alabama and subsequently exports to metal manufacturers across Europe, South America, and Asia. Operating within the Basic Materials sector and the Coking Coal industry, the company focuses on hard-coking coal essential for steel production processes while also generating natural gas sales. The entity currently maintains a market capitalization of $5.24B and employs 1485 individuals to support its extraction and export operations. With annual revenue reaching $1.31B, these financial metrics indicate that the company has established a significant operational footprint, positioning it as a mid-to-large cap player within the niche coking coal supply chain that serves global industrial demand.

Financial Health

The company reported revenue of $1.31B for the trailing twelve months, generating a net income of $57.00M and an EBITDA of $239.47M during the same period. The substantial disparity between the $1.31B revenue figure and the $57.00M net income reveals a cost structure where operating expenses, including depletion, stripping, and general administrative costs, consume a significant portion of top-line earnings before reaching the bottom line. While the company reported a free cash flow of $-116,734,752, this negative figure indicates that capital expenditures and working capital requirements exceeded operating cash generation, suggesting limited financial flexibility for immediate internal reinvestment or debt reduction without external financing. The gross margin stands at 23.0%, reflecting the high variable costs associated with mining hard coal; the operating margin of 9.0% demonstrates the efficiency of the business model after covering selling, general, and administrative expenses; and the profit margin of 4.3% shows the final profitability after all costs, taxes, and interest. On the balance sheet, the company holds $353.22M in cash against $270.94M in debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 12.65, which characterizes a highly leveraged capital structure reliant on substantial equity financing. The current ratio of 3.19 indicates that the company holds more than three times its current liabilities in current assets, signaling strong short-term liquidity and the ability to meet obligations as they come due. Return on equity is recorded at 2.7% and return on assets at 1.1%, metrics that reveal the low efficiency with which management utilizes shareholder capital and total assets to generate profit, likely influenced by the heavy asset base and high leverage inherent in the coking coal sector.

Valuation Assessment

The trailing twelve-month P/E ratio is 91.81, whereas the forward P/E is significantly lower at 10.93, implying that the market expects a dramatic expansion in earnings per share over the coming year that would drastically compress the multiple. The price-to-book ratio of 2.43 suggests that the stock trades at a premium relative to its book value, indicating that investors are valuing the company's intangible assets, resource reserves, or future earnings potential beyond its accounting equity. Alternative valuation metrics such as the price-to-sales ratio of 3.99 and an EV/EBITDA of 21.43 provide context that the company is valued highly relative to its sales and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, reflecting the cyclical nature of the resource sector. The 52-week high is $105.34 and the low is $38.00, establishing a trading range where the current valuation context must be interpreted against this historical volatility. The beta of 0.76 indicates that the stock is less volatile than the broader market, moving with 24% less intensity than the benchmark index during periods of market fluctuation.

Growth & Income

Revenue growth year-over-year is 29.4%, while earnings growth year-over-year is 1918.0%, demonstrating that earnings are expanding at a rate vastly disproportionate to revenue, which often occurs when one-time gains or significant margin expansions occur. As a dividend payer, the company offers a dividend yield of 0.3% with a payout ratio of 29.6%, a figure that is theoretically sustainable given the high growth in earnings, though the low yield reflects the high P/E multiple and the company's reinvestment needs. The negative free cash flow and high debt levels suggest that the company prioritizes capital allocation toward growth and debt management over increasing dividend payouts, effectively reinvesting earnings to sustain operations and expansion rather than distributing them. Overall, the growth profile is characterized by explosive earnings growth and moderate revenue expansion, while the income profile is minimal, driven by a low payout ratio and a capital-intensive business model requiring significant cash reserves.

Peer Comparison

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) operates in the Coking Coal industry. Here is how it compares to its closest peers by market capitalization:

Company Ticker Market Cap P/E Ratio
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. HCC $4.91B 35.7
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. AMR $2.45B N/A
Ramaco Resources, Inc. METC $965.24M N/A
SunCoke Energy, Inc. SXC $752.65M N/A

The Coking Coal industry average P/E ratio is 35.7x. Warrior Met Coal, Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.7.

This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Data may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

About Warrior Met Coal, Inc.

Warrior Met Coal, Inc. engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. It offers hard-coking coal through the operation of underground mines located in Alabama. The company also sells natural gas extracted as a byproduct from coal production. Warrior Met Coal, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama.

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Key Statistics

Market Cap
$4.91B
P/E Ratio
35.66
52-Week High
$105.34
52-Week Low
$40.80
Avg Volume
858.68K
Beta
0.63
Dividend Yield
0.34%

Data provided by Yahoo Finance via yfinance. Updated daily.

Company Info

Industry
Coking Coal
Exchange
NYSE
Country
United States
Employees
1,485