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Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) Stock Analysis

Energy

Greenfire Resources Ltd.

$5.81

$-0.21 (-3.49%)

Last Updated: May 26, 2026

Price History

Analysis

Company Overview

Greenfire Resources Ltd. engages in the exploration, development, and operation of oil and gas properties located within the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta, Canada, with its principal asset comprising the Hangingstone Facilities which consist of the Expansion Asset. The company operates within the Energy sector and specifically the Oil & Gas E&P industry, a classification that defines its involvement in the upstream extraction and production of hydrocarbons. The entity employs 197 individuals and holds a market capitalization of $836.60M while reporting an annual revenue of $584.40M. These valuation and revenue figures indicate that the company maintains a mid-cap presence in the energy landscape, suggesting a scale sufficient to support significant operational assets like the Expansion Asset while remaining sensitive to commodity price fluctuations.

Financial Health

The company reported a revenue of $584.40M for the trailing twelve months, generating a net income of $47.50M and an EBITDA of $187.57M. The substantial gap between the $584.40M revenue and the $47.50M net income reveals a cost structure where operating expenses, including depletion, depreciation, and amortization, significantly impact the bottom line before interest and taxes. Free cash flow stands at $-26,466,876, indicating a period of negative liquidity generation that limits immediate financial flexibility for share buybacks or aggressive capital expenditure without external financing. Gross margin is 29.5%, operating margin is 18.5%, and profit margin is 8.1%; these figures collectively demonstrate that for every dollar of sales, the company retains a small fraction as net profit after covering the high fixed costs inherent in oil sands extraction. Total cash on hand is $41.97M against total debt of $6.11M, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.52, which characterizes the balance sheet as highly conservative and minimally leveraged. The current ratio is 1.56, a metric that indicates the company possesses adequate short-term assets to cover its current liabilities without immediate distress. Return on Equity is 4.8% and Return on Assets is 5.1%, metrics that reveal management's current effectiveness in generating returns on the capital invested by shareholders and utilized in operations.

Valuation Assessment

The trailing twelve-month P/E ratio is 13.90, while the forward P/E is 16.65, implying that the market expects earnings to grow or that current earnings are depressed relative to future projections. The price-to-book ratio is 0.98, indicating that the stock trades at a discount to its book value rather than a market premium, which is typical for capital-intensive energy firms with significant asset bases. Alternative valuation metrics show a price-to-sales ratio of 1.43 and an EV/EBITDA of 4.27, suggesting the market values the company based on earnings power and sales volume at levels consistent with peers facing cyclical headwinds. The 52-week high is $7.02 and the 52-week low is $3.81, placing the current trading price in a range that reflects recent volatility and potential re-rating opportunities if commodity prices stabilize. With a beta of 0.27, the stock exhibits significantly lower price volatility relative to the broader market, making it a less sensitive play compared to high-beta energy equities.

Growth & Income

Revenue growth year-over-year is -35.4%, while earnings growth is N/A, indicating that the company is currently contracting rather than expanding its top line and profitability. Since earnings growth data is unavailable, a direct comparison of earnings growth speed versus revenue growth is not possible, but the negative revenue growth suggests a contraction phase typical of the industry during lower oil price environments. The company does not pay a dividend, as evidenced by a dividend yield of N/A and a payout ratio of 0.0%, meaning the entity reinvests all available earnings into growth initiatives or retains cash to weather downturns rather than distributing income to shareholders. This growth and income profile summarizes a capital preservation strategy where the company forgoes current income distribution to maintain operational continuity and potentially fund future expansion when market conditions improve.

Peer Comparison

Greenfire Resources Ltd. (GFR) operates in the Oil & Gas E&P industry. Here is how it compares to its closest peers by market capitalization:

Company Ticker Market Cap P/E Ratio
Greenfire Resources Ltd. GFR $728.74M N/A
ConocoPhillips COP $142.02B 19.8
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ.TO $135.03B 11.8
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $97.67B 11.8

The Oil & Gas E&P industry average P/E ratio is 63.5x. Greenfire Resources Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A.

This analysis is AI-generated for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Data may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

About Greenfire Resources Ltd.

Greenfire Resources Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, and operation of oil and gas properties in the Athabasca oil sands region of Alberta, Canada. The company's principal asset includes the Hangingstone Facilities which consist of the Expansion Asset and the Demo Asset located in south of Fort McMurray, Alberta. Greenfire Resources Ltd. is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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Key Statistics

Market Cap
$728.74M
P/E Ratio
N/A
52-Week High
$7.02
52-Week Low
$4.10
Avg Volume
232.15K
Beta
0.27

Data provided by Yahoo Finance via yfinance. Updated daily.

Company Info

Exchange
NYSE
Country
Canada
Employees
197